Free Picks Game 1 of 2022 NHL Stanley Cup Finals

Updated June 30, 2022
Updated June 30, 2022By Eric Uribe
Free Picks Game 1 Of 2022 Nhl Stanley Cup Finals

A long and grueling NHL season has led us here — Game 1 of the 2022 Stanley Cup Finals on June 14. We have a full breakdown of Wednesday’s game between Colorado and Tampa Bay right here. Keep reading for free betting picks on Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals! 

Stanley Cup Game 1: Over/Under Pick

Six goals — that’s the over/under total in Game 1, as set by the top-used online sportsbooks. Here are the current betting odds:

Over 6 goals scored-110-110
Under 6 goals scored-110-110

Tampa has reached its third straight Stanley Cup Final on the back of elite goaltending and defense. Unlike the two previous years, the Lightning is winning games off just two or three goals scored — as they’ve done in six of its past nine postseason victories. This has led to the under hitting in nine of Tampa’s past 10 matchups

Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has re-cemented himself as the league’s best at the position during this playoff run. It’s not just that Vasilevskiy is preventing goals, but it’s about which teams that is coming against — the high-powered attacks of Toronto and Florida (which led the league in regular-season scoring, just ahead of Colorado). The Avalanche can score with the beat of them, but as Vasilevskiy has shown so far, he’s up for the challenge

One more thing that points to an under in Game 1: Colorado is rarely ever penalized. They’re committing 2.9 penalties per game in the postseason, which is the second-least. So it’s our belief that opportunities for power-play goals will be slim for the Lightning, not a good sign for a team that’s been middling offensively as of late.

Take the under here. Not only do you have the above factors influencing a low-scoring affair, but Game 1 is also a “feel out” game where each side is barely getting acclimated with one another. Six combined goals will be hard to come by in this one. 

Under 6 goals scoredin Game 1 of 2022 Stanley Cup Finals
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Stanley Cup Game 1: Puck Line Pick

Hours before Game 1, here’s how the best betting sites for NHL are currently pegging the puck line odds:

Colorado Avalanche (-1.5)+170+170
Tampa Bay Lightning (+1.5)-200-200

Rest has to be weighed when making this pick. The home-ice Avs will be on eight full days of rest from the Cup opener to its last postseason matchup. The Bolts, meanwhile, rested up three days AND have to travel for this one. Though, depending on your perspective, Colorado’s rest could actually be a detriment. That is if you believe in accumulating “rust” when not playing. 

Either way, we sense this game goes down to the wire. It’s our belief that the Avalanche has huge advantages of playing at home and on rest. However, we do think the Lightning are the better team, that will eventually win this series.

That’s because of the aforementioned Vasilevskiy. We can’t understate his greatness — and it’s a level that Colorado has yet to face this postseason. Yes, they’ve rolled to a 12-2 mark in the postseason but that’s been against subpar teams and goaltenders. We think there will be an adjustment period in store for the home-ice team in Game 1 (and this whole series for that matter). 

A close game favors Tampa covering the spread on the road. Maybe this bet doesn’t have the best betting value, but it’s worth putting in a same-game parlay (if that’s allowed at your bookmaker). 

Tampa Batto cover the spread vs. Colorado in Game 1
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Stanley Cup Game 1: Moneyline Pick

And now for our final pick on who wins the opening Cup matchup. As it stands, the Avs are the clear moneyline betting favorites. Here are the betting lines for reference: 

Colorado Avalanche-155-155
Tampa Bay Lightning+135+135

We’ve already told you that Tampa Bay is our Stanley Cup pick to win — but not in Game 1. Right now, the odds are stacked against them due to the grueling conference finals series they played in and being on the road. The reigning champs will overcome this as the series wears on, but not immediately, hence our Avalanche moneyline pick here. 

Plus, let’s not forget the two regular-season meetings these two teams had. Both ended in Colorado victories by one goal (one of which came in a shootout). The betting favorites will hold the home-ice advantage in Game 1, bank on it! 

Coloradoto beat Tampa Bay in Game 1
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How To Bet On 2022 NHL Stanley Cup?

The Stanley Cup is your last chance to bet on the NHL for several months. If you want to seize this opportunity, then visit one of the underneath bookmakers. Any one of them will have you covered with ALL the 2022 Stanley Cup bets you’re looking for — futures, props, individual matchups like what we covered above, etc. 

Also, reference the below table if you need help finding the best sportsbook for you. We’ve included unbiased reviews and details about each site’s current bonuses in the table to make the decision all the easier for you!

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About the Author

Eric Uribe
Eric Uribe

Fueled by his passion, he chose to pursue a career in sports journalism, where he covered a diverse range of sporting events, from high school games to professional leagues, over several years. Today, Eric has redirected his love for sports into the world of betting. When not sharing his expertise on betting through this platform, he can be found placing bets at sportsbooks. Eric's extensive knowledge of sports and years of experience make him a trusted and reliable source for betting tips and advice.

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