Braves open home campaign against the Padres

Updated April 6, 2023
Updated April 6, 2023By Dean Etheridge

There’s going to be a full house to witness the Atlanta Braves first home outing of the 2023 MLB season when they face the San Diego Padres at Truist Park on Thursday evening. The Braves have had a great start to the season, the Padres, an average one. So who will come out on top in this exciting holiday season clash? Let’s take a closer look with our latest MLB betting picks

Atlanta Braves Host The Padres At Truist Park

Betting to win the 2023 World Series

In the betting to win the 2023 World Series, the Braves still hold the edge over the Padres. Having started the season as third favorites at +700, the best MLB betting sites still have Brian Snitker’s team at the same price. The difference now is the Yankees have drifted, and the Braves are the second favorites.  

As for the Padres, they started the season fourth in the betting at +800. After their indifferent start, the best MLB World Series betting sites still have them in fourth. But they have drifted out to +850, and they’ve also been joined on those odds by the Dodgers.

More MLB World Series betting can be found below on our odds table. For more information about the bookmakers listed, please visit our best online sportsbook reviews page.

2023 MLB World Series Winner BettingBetOnlineBetUSBovada
Houston Astros+650+650+650
Atlanta Braves+700+700+700
New York Yankees+750+750+750
San Diego Padres+850+850+850
LA Dodgers+850+850+850
New York Mets+900+900+900
Toronto Blue Jays+1200+1200+1200
Philadelphia Phillies+1800+1800+1800
Tampa Bay Rays+2000+2000+2000
Cleveland Guardians+2200+2200+2200
Seattle Mariners+2500+2500+2500
St Louis Cardinals+2800+2800+2800
Chicago White Sox+3300+3300+3300
Minnesota Twins+3300+3300+3300
Boston Red Sox+4000+4000+4000

Braves looking to learn from 2022

The 2021 World Series winners have started the new season well. From their six game road trip, they are 5-1. In their most recent match on Wednesday, they completed a comfortable 5-2 win over the Cardinals, and now the focus switches back to Truist Park for the next seven matches (they face the Reds after the Padres).

This good start is much needed as well, as their defense of the World Series didn’t go too good last year. They started the 2022 season poorly, but then finished it in sensational style, winning the NL East. But in the postseason, their form reverted back to that of early in the regular season, and they surrendered their World Series meekly, going down 3-1 to the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLDS. 

This season the Braves seem to have learned from their mistakes though. They go into the match with the Padres on the front foot. And even at this early stage of the season, Brian Snitker’s team are already looking the part. 

Crucial run of fixtures for the Padres

In the case of the Padres, this match represents the start of a crucial run of fixtures that will go a long way to telling us if they are the real deal or not. After the four matches at Truist Park, the Padres will head straight to New York for a three match mini-series against the Mets. If the Padres can come through that run successfully, then the whole of Baseball will have to sit up and take them seriously. 

Although they are one of the betting favorites to win the World Series this year, the jury still seems to be slightly out on the Padres. This, despite their run to the NLCS last season. 

The Padres may have taken care of the Dodgers in the NLDS, but they played second fiddle to their local neighbors throughout the regular season. As a result, punters still aren’t convinced. So this series gives them the chance to show us they really do deserve their place as one of the four favorites to win the World Series. 

This season hasn’t started spectacularly well though. In their last outing before this match, the Padres were defeated 8-6 at home by the Diamondbacks. This leaves them with a 3-3 record this season, after six home matches. 

Not great form to be going on a difficult seven-match road trip with! 

Braves vs Padres Betting and Picks

This is the first fixture of a four match mini-series between two of the betting favorites to win the 2023 World Series. The Braves are more in form, and this is reflected on the moneyline where the bookmakers have them at -163 to win. The Padres are +150 to pull off a win on their first road trip of the season.

On the handicap line, the Padres are -150 to win with a start of +1.5 points. Starting from -1.5 points, the Braves are +130. The total points spread is set at 7.5. Over 7.5 is -121, with Under 7.5 at +101

Whilst we believe the Padres will up their game against a major World Series rival, we’ve seen little to suggest they can defeat an in-form Atlanta. So, we have to go with the Braves to win their opening match for our first betting pick. Moneyline or handicap? You can make your own choice. But with the Braves five wins all beating the spread (albeit against lesser opposition), we’re going for a win on the handicap.

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)To beat the San Diego Padres
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Moving onto the total points line, and if the Padres do make a game of this, it could be high scoring. 

Both sides have been involved in high scorers lately. In the case of the Braves, their six matches have seen over 7.5 covered three times, whilst the matches involving the Padres have seen the spread covered four times out of six. We think over 7.5 points is worth a wager and make that our final pick.

Over 7.5Braves vs Padres
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Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres 
Truist Park,Atlanta,Georgia 
Starting on
April 6, 2023
Ending on
April 6, 2023

About the Author

Dean Etheridge
Dean Etheridge

Over the last 10 years, Dean has sharpened his expertise in crafting and revising content for his soccer and cricket betting platforms. Driven by his passion for sports betting and writing, he embarked on a journey of writing about sports wagering. Although Dean's preferred areas of focus are the English Premier League and cricket, his extensive sports knowledge enables him to tackle nearly any sport. Gone are the days of traveling the world to witness events like FIFA World Cups and Ashes cricket, as Dean now prefers the comfort of his own home while enjoying sports.

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