2022 MLB Division Futures: Should NY Mets Be Worried About Atlanta Braves in NL East?

Updated June 30, 2022
Updated June 30, 2022By Dan Favale
Will the New York Mets hold off the Atlanta Braves in the NL East Division?

It wasn’t long ago that the New York Mets looked like they would run away with the 2022 NL East Division title. All the best online betting sites for Major League Baseball initially had their NL East title odds in a vice grip. Nobody was touching them.

And then the Atlanta Braves happened.

The reigning 2021 MLB World Series champions have rebounded following a less than stellar start to put real pressure on the Mets in the race to win the National League East. Linemakers are starting to pick up on their rise, too. Just look at the odds to win the 2022 NL East Division at the moment, courtesy of Bovada:

Division WinnerBovada
New York Mets-175
Atlanta Braves+170
Philadelphia Phillies+1700
Miami Marlins+15000
Washington Nationals+250000

Indeed, the Mets continue to pay out worse than even money while the Braves are nearly 2-to-1 underdogs. But that 2-to-1 used to look more like 5-to-1…or worse. Is it possible the Braves might complete their turnaround and dethrone the previously untouchable Mets? Heck, is it possible the Philadelphia Phillies, who continue to hang around, make life difficult on New York before season’s end? We could pretend the Miami Marlins or Washington Nationals have a legitimate shot of crashing this race, but we know you’re smarter than to believe as much.

If you haven’t already bet on the 2022 NL East race, make sure you’re double-checking these MLB futures before settling on any predictions. The pennant race doesn’t wrap up until the end of the season, and our baseball betting odds on the NL East are accurate entering games on Thursday, June 29. They will assuredly shift many times prior to the end of the year.

Of course, among the benefits of betting MLB futures is all the time you have to find the top sites at which to place wagers. We’ve compiled a list of the best legal online sportsbooks operating in the United States and even have reviews on the best 2022 World Series online betting sites to boot.

Should New York Mets Remain Favorites to Win the NL East?

For the first time in approximately forever, the New York Mets appear uniquely vulnerable.

Four losses still separate them from the second-place Atlanta Braves, but that lead hardly feels safe with more than half of the season left to play. Especially with New York’s bat beginning to suffer. They still rank in the top 10 of on-base plus slugging percentage, but they’ve slipped to eighth, down from the top three, during their latest bout of mortality.

If we’re being honest, this team feels like it needs to make some upgrades behind the plate at the deadline. Catcher, specifically, has become a position of concern. New York’s masked army has one of the lowest batting averages in the league at the position—something that may not fly with the Braves currently on fire.

New York MetsTo Win the 2022 NL East Division Title
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How the Atlanta Braves Caught Up to the New York Mets

Remember when Max Fried, the Braves’ primary ace, looked like he was speeding toward a down and disappointing season?

Yeah, we don’t remember that, either.

Though Fried struggled through his first four outings of the year, his issues feel like a lifetime ago. He has gone 7-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his 10 starts since—and the Braves are 8-2 overall in those games.

Anyone waiting for Fried to slow down shouldn’t hold their breath. This is more of his norm. Fried now has a 2.82 ERA over the past three MLB seasons—the sixth best mark among all pitchers, bar none, in baseball.

Couple his rise with the ascension of the Braves’ bats over the past couple of months, and the reigning champs are yet again a real threat.

Atlanta BravesTo Win the 2022 NL East Division Title
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Is It Too Late for the Philadelphia Phillies to Crash the NL East Race?

Don’t sleep on the Phillies—not entirely, anyway.

Philadelphia has quietly worked themselves within eight games of the NL East-leading New York Mets despite spending so much of the season flailing around. And they have a pitching staff on the rise to thank.

Both Aaron Nola and Zach Wheeler are straight dismantling opponents at the moment. The control they’ve both showed over their pitching arsenal, even deep into the count, verges on legendary. Combine this with a 10th place ranking in on-base plus slugging percentage, and the Phillies are flying under the radar as a more complete team than meets the eye.

Granted, their latest stretch will say a lot more about their NL East title odds than anything so far. The Phillies have one of the toughest schedules heading into the All-Star break, and if they emerge from it still over .500, both the Mets and Braves will be on notice.

Philadelphia PhilliesTo Win the 2022 NL East Division Title
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NL East Division Winner Prediction

Let’s make something clear: The Braves and even the Phillies are worthy challengers to the AL East Division throne. But we’re inclined to trust the New York Mets.

For starters, it isn’t like the Mets have fallen off a cliff during their recent rut. What’s happening now is just that—a temporary slump. They’ll be fine.

We’re also baking in New York’s potential to improve at the trade deadline. The Mets have one of the deeper stores of assets among World Series contenders, and we’re confident they’ll use it to make an upgrade at catcher and acquire one more arm in advance of their postseason push. We recommend pouncing on them before they become 2-to-1 or even 3-to-1 favorites.

New York MetsTo Win the 2022 NL East Division Title
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Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all of your 2022 MLB betting:

About the Author

Dan Favale
Dan Favale

Dan is a versatile sports betting writer who can address a wide range of topics, from presidential elections to changes in federal and state sports betting legislation. He is also an NFL expert and regularly provides insightful picks and analysis for the league. With his extensive knowledge and experience, Dan is well-equipped to tackle any subject related to sports betting and keep his readers informed and up-to-date.

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