NFL Picks Week 16 – Dallas Cowboys favorites to beat Philadelphia Eagles

Updated December 19, 2022
Updated December 19, 2022By Daniel Feliciano

A wonderful NFL season continues into week 16 as the pretenders and contenders separate themselves, and we look at games between some excellent teams.

In a highly entertaining season so far, this week we’ll look at three games involving the Houston Texans taking on the Tennessee Titans, the Buffalo Bills game with the Chicago Bears and the Philadelphia Eagles clash with the Dallas Cowboys on Christmas Eve.

We’ll break down both exciting match-ups, give you our best free NFL picks, and see if we can earn you some extra cash for the end of the weekend.

Sbs Nfl Picks Week 16 Dallas Cowboys Favorites To Beat Philadelphia Eagles
Sbs Nfl Picks Week 16 Dallas Cowboys Favorites To Beat Philadelphia Eagles
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Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans – 12/24/22, 13:00 ET

At the time of writing this article, the Texans are 1-11-1 for the season and are about to go head to head with the Kansas City Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes II, so it is probably safe to say they’re 1-12-1.

That would mean they’re now on a nine-game losing streak, having bee beaten by all of Philadelphia Eagles, New York Giants, Washington Commanders, Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns.

Tennessee on the other hand are 7-6 this season at the time of writing, having lost each of their last three games consecutively against the Jacksonville Jaguars, Philadelphia Eagles and Cininnati Bengals.

NFL picks: Tennessee Titans to cover spread

If ever there has been a game where the spread will surely be covered it is this one.

The Texans are undoubtedly the worst team in the NFL right now, with a point differential that has seen them score 211 points but concede 314 across all of their games at the time of writing.

The Titans alternatively are top of the AFC South division having scored 241 points and allowed 274, making them have a negative differential also.

They run the ball quite well and defensively they’re at their best when the opposition try to run, which is where the Texans are arguably at their best, if you can call it that.

With no stand-out quarter-backs on the field for this game, the best running team will win and that is comfortably the Titans. With the power they have at both ends of the field, expect a dominant, lopsided win for Tennessee in this one.

Tennessee Titans -9vs Houston Texans
-107
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Buffalo Bills vs Chicago Bears – 12/24/22, 13:00 ET

At the time of this writing, the Bills sit at 10-3 for the season with a big game against the Miami Dolphins taking place last weekend where they likely moved to 11-3.

Prior to that game they were on a four-game winning streak, with big wins over New York Jets, New England Patriots, Detroit Lions and Cleveland Browns in successive games.

The Bears on the other hand have had a torrid season and at the time of writing this article they sit at 10-3 for the season so far.

Chicago have lost their last six games in a row at the time of writing, suffering defeat against all of Green Bay Packers, New York Jets, Atlanta Falcons, Detroit Lions, Miami Dolphins and the Dallas Cowboys.

NFL Picks: Back the Overs

Both of teams will feel as though they can score points on the other, but it’s clear to almost everyone that the Bills will be the ones hitting the majority of the points.

Over each of their last five games at the time of writing the Bills have combined for 32, 34, 53, 54 and 63 points with their opponents, showing that even though they can win games they’re more than susceptible defensively if teams really go for it.

Alternatively when you look at the last five games for the Bears, they have combined for 47, 41, 51, 61 and 67 points despite their shockingly bad record which shows they’re capable of putting points on the board.

A combined seven of their last ten games have hit the Overs for this game and with their respective records this season it’s hard not to see it landing again with the Bills getting a win in the process too.

Over 45.5 pointsBuffalo Bills vs Chicago Bears
-110
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys – 12/24/22, 16:25 ET

NFL Picks Week 16BetOnlineMyBookie
Philadelphia Eagles-110-102
Dallas Cowboys-110-120

The Eagles have been the best team in the entire NFL so far this season, leading the charge with a record of 12-1 at the time of writing, on a brilliant four game win streak against New York Giants, Tennessee Titans, Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts.

The Cowboys have been excellent too, racking up a record of 10-3 with a four-game winning streak of their own against Houston Texans, Indianapolis, New York Giants and Minnesota Vikings.

NFL picks: Philadelphia Eagles moneyline

What a game this is set up to be. Two teams with the best offenses and defensive lineups in the league, performing at an incredibly high level and with top notch consistency.

But overlooking the Eagles is something I’ve done on occasion already this season and I’ve been shown up every time, so I simply cannot do it again.

The game will be close and could either be a really tight defensive affair, or a free-flowing attacking game, so the moneyline is the safest bet to go for here.

It’s very rare you get a team with the best record in the league at almost even money and even though they’re on the road, the value is too good to ignore.

Philadelphia Eaglesto beat Dallas Cowboys
-102
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About the Author

Daniel Feliciano
Daniel Feliciano

A soccer and MMA fanatic who believes the eye test far outweighs statistics, apart from when it comes to betting. With experience writing for several years, Daniel is an avid sports fan but also enjoys obstacle courses, music and views from a height.

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