Analysis & Prediction for who will win the 2022 NFL MVP Award

Updated June 30, 2022
Updated June 30, 2022By Chris Boline
nfl betting mvp

Awarded annually to the player that best exemplifies regular season excellence, the race for the 2022 NFL MVP will be a scorching one. Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers is the reigning MVP and is coming off back-to-back honors. However, given the overall strength of the quarterback position in the modern NFL, he narrowly missed the cut to be discussed on this top four countdown. In fact this list features only one former MVP (Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes) and three potential first-time honorees if things break the right way for them in 2022. 

For this article SBS will go over what each contender brings to the table along with their chances to bring home the highest individual player honor in professional football. 

Favorites to Win The 2022 NFL MVPBetOnline
Josh Allen+500
Justin Herbert+550
Patrick Mahomes+900
Joe Burrow+1100

The No. 1 Contender: Josh Allen (Odds: +500)

Coming off another fantastic dual-threat season, Allen has the Bills in position to win their first Super Bowl ever. Last year the Wyoming product threw for 4,407 yards along with accounting for 763 yards on the ground. With 42 combined scores he was able to pilot Buffalo to a 11-6 record and an AFC East title. While Allen was certainly superb when it came to accruing yards and scores, he was unable to get past Mahomes and Kansas City in the playoffs. Following an instant classic of a game in the AFC Divisional Round (which Buffalo narrowly lost in overtime), the 26-year old certainly will be hungry to get over the hump this season. 

Josh AllenTo Win the 2022 NFL MVP Award
+500
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The No. 2 Player: Justin Herbert (Odds: +550)

The only player on this list that has never been to the NFL Playoffs, Herbert should check that off the list this season along with potentially much more. Standing at a stout 6-foot-6, Herbert is entering his third year in the league and has already achieved Pro Bowl and NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. In 2021 he set Chargers franchise records for most passing yards in a season (5,014) along with most passing touchdowns ever by a Chargers quarterback (38). What’s remarkable about Herbert’s progress is that he has had two head coaches in his first two seasons and now has even more help on the offensive line in 2022. This could be the key in unlocking the next step in his superstar journey. 

Justin HerbertTo Win the 2022 NFL MVP Award
+550
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Third Ranked Contender: Patrick Mahomes (Odds: +900)

Still only 26 years old, Mahomes is the most accomplished player on this countdown and for good reason. The 2018 NFL MVP, Mahomes also won the Super Bowl following the 2019-20 NFL Playoffs and will be looking for his second title this season.  A four-time Pro Bowl selection, the Texas Tech product is coming off another stellar year where he threw for 37 scores along with accounting for over 5,000 total yards. While he will most likely be geared up for another amazing year, he will be without his top wide receiver, Tyreek Hill who departed to Miami this offseason. However, he still will be able to rely on the services of trusty Pro Bowl tight end Travis Kelce. 

Patrick MahomesTo Win the 2022 NFL MVP Award
+900
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Final Contender: Joe Burrow (Odds: +1100)

The last spotlight on our list, Burrow almost led his upstart Bengals to Super Bowl glory last season. Already Cincinnati’s franchise leader for passer rating and completion percentage, Burrow had an amazing 2021 campaign and should be ready for more this year. Following a rather underwhelming rookie season due to injury, Burrow exploded in 2021 with 4,611 passing yards and 34 passing scores. After notching a 10-6 record over 16 games as the Bengals starter, he was able to pilot Cincy to their first Super Bowl appearance since 1988. While Burrow and his squad narrowly fell to the Los Angeles Rams, 23-20, it was perhaps a foreshadowing of many great things to come from the LSU product. 

Joe BurrowTo Win the 2022 NFL MVP Award
+1100
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Prediction: A stacked competition, there certainly is no shortage of elite talent at the quarterback. With that in mind, a new face will emerge in 2022 with Herbert taking home the award behind a revamped Bolts offensive line

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About the Author

Chris Boline
Chris Boline

As a devout aficionado of sports, Chris Boline has carved a career within the athletic realm. A skilled scribe, he boasts a decade-long portfolio that encompasses coverage of the NBA G League, the Los Angeles Chargers, football and basketball across the country. Beyond his professional pursuits, Chris is deeply invested in his community and dedicates his leisure hours to serving on boards, collaborating with community organizations, and cherishing the company of loved ones. CURRENTLY Business Development and freelance sports writing RESIDES IN Reno, NV EDUCATION University of Nevada BS and MBA EXPERTISE -Sports writing proficiency in: NFL, NBA, UFC, boxing, golf, and some motor sports -Topical news -Promotional and marketing ideas/updates -Business development Summary Chris Boline serves in a business development sales capacity as his day job. He has previously held sales/marketing positions with The Applied Companies (TAC), KTVN 2 News and the NBA G League’s Reno Bighorns, affiliate of the Sacramento Kings. He is a Reno native and is a member of various community boards including the Nevada Sagebrush Alumni Chapter, NCET and the College of Business Alumni Association (COBAA). Chris graduated from the University of Nevada in 2015 with a bachelors in management and economics and also earned his MBA from Nevada in 2023. More about Chris: Past president of the College of Business Alumni Association (COBAA) 2022-23 Two-time honoree for University of Nevada Alumni Chapter of the Year (Nevada Sagebrush Alumni Chapter, 2017 & COBAA, 2021) 2021 NCET award for Professional Services Organization of the Year with TAC Northern Nevada Human Resources Association 2020 Best Places to Work-Northern Nevada, Second Place with TAC 2016-17 Reno Bighorns MVP from the Sacramento Kings The Nevada Sagebrush editor-in-chief 2013-15 Associated Collegiate Press 2015 Four-year Non-daily Newspaper Pacemaker honoree University of Nevada, Reno College of Business Dean's List honoree (5x) from 2011-2015 Nevada Press Association award for Best Sports Column – Community in 2015 Education

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