NFL Week 11 Betting Picks and Preview

By Simon Taylor
Nfl Week 11 Betting Picks Sbs

Week 10 of the NFL season has seen another enthralling round of matches, and Week 11 promises more of the same.  

Last weekend’s results have again seen a change at the top of the betting to win the 2022 Super Bowl.

The top NFL betting sites now make Buffalo Bills their Super Bowl favorites, following their 45-17 thrashing of the hapless New York Jets. 

They have displaced the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who lost their second match running last weekend. The Bucs went down 29-19 to the Washington Football Team at FedExField on Sunday.

Betting to win Super Bowl 2022BetOnlineBetUS
Buffalo Bills+550+550
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+650+600
Green Bay Packers+850+1000
Arizona Cardinals+900+1000
Dallas Cowboys+900+900
Kansas City Chiefs+900+900
Los Angeles Rams+900+850
Baltimore Ravens+1200+1400
Tennessee Titans+1200+1100
New England Patriots+2000+2000

Neither of the Bills or the Buccaneers features in our picks this week. 

Instead, I’m looking at the games involving the in-form Patriots, the ‘resurgent’ Miami Dolphins, and the big match-up between the Chiefs and the Cowboy.

New England Patriots @ Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons welcome the New England Patriots to the Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday night, where they will be looking for the win needed to try and climb their division.

The Falcons sit bottom of the NFC South with a 4-5 record. The division is tight though. The Saints and the Panthers sit directly above with five wins apiece, and Tampa Bay sit top with six.

In their last match, the Falcons got annihilated by Dallas Cowboys by 43 points to 3 last Sunday. 

The task for Arthur Smith’s side doesn’t get any easier on Thursday. 

Their opponents, the New England Patriots, are on a four-match winning streak. This run has seen them go 6-4 and level with the Bills on wins at the top end of the AFC East.

The Patriots are Even money to win from a -7 handicap with BetUS, making them a great value pick for the opening match of Week 11.

Patriots To Win (-7) On HandicapNew England Patriots @ Atlanta Falcons
+100
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Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

Next up is the New York Jets, who – despite the Dolphins’ form of late – will see this as a chance to claim only their third win of the season.

Last Sunday, the Jets were taken apart 45 points to 17 at home to the Buffalo Bills.

They will need to put that loss behind them and quickly move on. The Bills are in a different ballpark to the Jets, whereas a match against Miami is more than winnable.

That said, the Jets have conceded a mammoth 175 points in their last four matches. 

On the flip side, the Miami Dolphins season is all of a sudden turning around. They have now won two matches running and have climbed off the bottom of the AFC East.

Those two wins were at home though!

On the Moneyline, the Dolphins are -170, and they give the Jets +3 on the handicap.

My instincts are telling me to go with the Dolphins, but this is the Dolphins. Look at how poor and inconsistent they have been this season.

Have they turned a corner? Or was last weekend’s win over the Ravens a one-off? 

I’m not sure, so I’m going with a bet on Overs in this match, as both sides have had defensive issues this season, especially New York.

Over 44.5 Total PointsMiami Dolphins @ New York Jets
-110
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Dallas Cowboys @ Kansas City Chiefs 

Our final match is one of the games of the whole weekend!

Yes, we’re off to the Arrowhead Stadium to see how the Kansas City Chiefs do when the Dallas Cowboys come calling on Sunday afternoon.

The Chiefs are on a three-match winning streak that has seen them beat the Giants, the Packers, and last weekend, the Raiders.

The wins over the Giants and the Packers were at the Arrowhead, while last weekend’s 41-14 victory was on the road. 

This weekend they come up against a Cowboys side who sit top of the NFC East with a 7-2 record.

Last weekend the Cowboys crushed the Falcons 43-3, which was a great way to bounce back from defeat the previous weekend – only their second defeat of the season.

The previous week’s 30-16 defeat to the Broncos, ended the Cowboy’s magnificent six-match winning run. 

At the moment, the Broncos’ defeat looks like a blip rather than a change in fortunes for the Cowboys.  

The Cowboys are getting a +2.5 points start on the handicap line, while the Chiefs are -140 favorites on the Moneyline

It looks like a close call, and I think it’s too hard to pick a winner here. 

I expect a tight match, and I see defenses playing a part, so I’m going for Under 56.5 points on the Total Points line with BetOnline.

Under 56.5 Total PointsDallas Cowboys @ Kansas City Chiefs
-110
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