The NCAA Football season is now in full flow, so with another round of fixtures on the horizon, here’s our weekend College Football Picks.
The form team in the NCAAF so far this season is Georgia Bulldogs.
The Bulldogs are one of many sides with a six-zero record this season. But as well as the impressive record, the Bulldogs also currently lead the AP Top 25 rankings.
This is not just down to the Bulldogs’ form. But also in part down to the record of Alabama Crimson Tide, who were the preseason favorites to win the College Football Playoffs.
The Crimson and Whites lost their first match this season on Saturday. And as a result, they are now down to 5th position in the rankings.
The defeat hasn’t just affected the rankings. It has also altered the latest betting to win the 2021/22 College Football Playoffs.
|CFP National Championship Winner Betting Odds|
|Alabama Crimson Tide||+240||+220|
|Ohio State Buckeyes||+800||+850|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||+5000||+8000|
BetUS now have Georgia Bulldogs as favorites to win the playoffs. They have been cut into just +120, having started the season at +500.
Next up for the Bulldogs is a home fixture against Kentucky Wildcats this Saturday. And that’s the first match I’m looking at for this week’s NCAAF Betting Picks.
Both sides are six from six overall and four from four in the Southeastern Conference (SEC East).
With Kentucky having a +22.5 start on the handicap, it seems odd to say this match is a showdown. But that’s how it’s getting billed.
With these two sides topping the SEC, it’s no surprise to see they have the two best defenses.
Georgia is the stronger of the two teams. So far this season, averaging just 203.5 yards per match.
In their six matches played, the Bulldogs have conceded just a mere 33 points. Two of their six wins have come to zero.
As for Kentucky, what a start to the season this has been. They haven’t been six and zero for over 70 years (1950), and the last time they won their opening four matches in the SEC was back in 1977.
So why the massive handicap?
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Well, I believe it’s for a couple of reasons. First, Georgia Bulldogs are the No.1 ranked team, while Kentucky is ranked 11; Second, the injuries are starting to rack up for the Wildcats.
Octavious Oxendine is out of Saturday’s fixture, and there are also doubts about the availability of Marquan McCall and Josh Ali, who both sat out Saturday’s 42-21 win over LSU Tigers.
On the match odds Moneyline, the Bulldogs is -3300, with Kentucky at +900. The total points match stands at 44.5 points.
So far this season, Georgia is 5-1 on the spread. The early indications are that punters favor the Wildcats on the spread, but I think the Bulldogs can overcome the odds and go 6-1.
So for my first betting pick this week, I’m going for Georgia to win on the handicap.
The next match-up I want to look at involves preseason playoff favorites Alabama Crimson Tide, who will be looking to bounce back from their first defeat of the season.
Despite the defeat, Alabama still sits top of the SEC West with an overall 5-1 record. In their conference, they are 2-1.
As for MS State, they have an okay 3-2 record this season. In the SEC West, they are 1-1.
Crimson Tide suffered their first defeat of the season to Texas A&M Aggies on Saturday. They went down 41-38 at Kyle Field.
Alabama started slowly, and at the halfway stage they found themselves 24-10 down.
They did rally in the 3rd and 4th quarters and only ended up losing by 3 points. The damage was done in the 1st and 2nd quarters though, with Nick Saban’s team ultimately leaving themselves too much to do.
Onto MS State, and they didn’t play last weekend. Their last outing was also against Texas A&M Aggies the previous week, whom they beat 26 points to 22.
The betting for this match is as follows…
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On two occasions this season, Alabama failed to win by more than 17.5 points. And one of those was obviously Saturday’s defeat.
In five of Alabama’s matches this season, 60 or more points have been scored. On two of those occasions, over 70 points were scored.
On the one occasion, 60 points weren’t scored, the total amount was 57 points. Just 1.5 points less than Saturday’s Total Points line!
I think you may have already worked out which way this is going.
All of Alabama’s matches except for the opening fixture have seen points scored aplenty by both sides. Showing that the Crimsons are scoring lots, and their defense is very leaky.
So my second NCAAF betting pick of the weekend is Over 58.5 on the Total Points line.