Bayern Munich meet Manchester City in the 2nd leg of their Champions League quarter-final on Wednesday night. After a dominant display in the 1st leg at the Etihad Stadium, City will take a 3-0 lead to Germany with them. This leaves Bayern needing a miracle at the Allianz Arena. And here we tell you if Bayern can pull off a shock comeback in our latest soccer betting picks.
Bayern Munich have a mountain to climb when they take on Manchester City in Bavaria on Wednesday. The Bundesliga champions were thrashed 3-0 in the 1st leg in Manchester last week, and as a result, they are now heavy outsiders to progress to the semi-finals, and even longer odds to win the 2023 Champions League trophy itself.
City are -3000 to advance to the semi-final. While the best Champions League betting sites make City just -110 to win the trophy this year. Their closest betting rivals are the defending champions Real Madrid at +450. With Napoli and Inter Milan next, both at +700.
More Champions League betting odds can be found below on our odds table. These odds are taken from the best soccer betting sites. You can find out even more information about these expert soccer betting sites at our best online sportsbook reviews page.
|2023 Champions League Winner Betting|
Both sides have played only once since the 1st leg, with City winning, and Bayern being held to a disappointing home draw.
Manchester City warmed up for the return leg with a comfortable 3-1 win over Leicester City. Pep’s team dominated the 1st half against the struggling Foxes, racing into a 3-0 lead after just 25 minutes.
Guardiola was then afforded the luxury of taking goal machine Erling Haaland off at half-time, with the Norwegian already having bagged himself a brace.
As for the Bavarians, the mood around the camp wouldn’t have been improved by their 1-1 home draw with Hoffenheim. Bayern dominated the match with 66% possession, having 22 shots at goal, with eight on target. As for Hoffenheim, they had just four shots at goal, with just one on target. Ultimately, that one shot on target counted, as it got the visitors a 1-1 draw.
But the news in Germany has been dominated by off the pitch activity. Sadio Mane was fined and dropped from the squad for the Hoffenheim match after reportedly punching teammate Leroy Sane after the City defeat. This followed a heated disagreement on the pitch that spilled over in the aftermath of the match. Mane has reportedly been fined something in the region of $300,000 for his role in the incident, a record amount for Bayern.
This clearly has made massive headlines in Germany. And despite Pep Guardiola claiming it will galvanize Bayern for the 2nd leg, we believe it suggests there is major disharmony in the German champion’s dressing room.
In the match betting odds, it’s City who are the favorites to win on the night. On the moneyline Bayern are +178, City are +142, and the 90 minutes draw is +282.
In alternative props betting markets, over 2.5 goals is -195, with under 2.5 goals at +160. Or if you think there could be more goals, then over 3.5 goals is +145, with under 3.5 goals at -175.
In the double chance market, City and the draw is -225, and we think that has a better than average chance of winning. Bayern and the draw is -195, and a City or Bayern win is priced at -375. And finally, in the draw no bet market, Bayern are +100, and City are -130.
So, where are the value picks? Well, it’s fair to say that Man City are on a bit of a streak at the moment. They’ve won all of their last ten, and included in that run is a 7-0 win over RB Leipzig, and a 4-1 win over Liverpool; Not to mention the 3-0 win over Bayern!
As for the Germans, well, in all competitions Bayern have won six of their last ten. That run also includes one draw, and three defeats. Yes, included in that run is a 2-0 win over PSG in the last round of the Champions League, and also a 4-2 win over Borussia Dortmund that saw them go back top of the Bundesliga.
Make no mistake, this Bayern side can’t be underestimated. But in their last four matches they have been disappointing. Not only were they thrashed by City, but they also lost 2-1 at home to Freiburg in the German Cup quarter-finals at the start of the month. Couple that with the fallout from the City game last week, and the Germans look there for the taking.
We can see City winning this, and we can see it possibly being a convincing win. City are +142 to win, and we think that is a good enough value bet on its own. But we can also see a few goals in this one, so with a combined props bet of a City win with over 2.5 goals available at +225, we’re making that our betting pick for this match.