The 2023 UEFA Champions League final takes place in Turkey this Saturday. The favorites with the bookmakers are Manchester City, with Pep Guardiola’s team looking to win the trophy for the first time. Standing in their way is Inter Milan, who are looking to lift the famous trophy aloft for the fourth time. Who will the champions be? Let’s take a closer look with our 2023 Champions League final soccer betting picks.
As well as looking to win the trophy for the first time ever, Manchester City need to win the cup to become only the second English team to ever complete the coveted treble of Premier League, FA Cup, and UEFA Champions League. The only other team from England to achieve this was Manchester United in 1999, and they blew their chance of preventing City completing the treble in last Saturday’s FA Cup final.
The one and only team who can stop sitting doing the treble now is Inter Milan of Serie A in Italy. Internazionale, as they are also known, have a more decorated history in Europe than City does. The Italian giants have already won this trophy three times. Twice when it was the European Cup, back in 1964 and 1965, and once in its current Champions League format in 2010, under the guidance of a certain Jose Mourinho.
History is certainly on the side of Internazionale. But as you’re about to discover, the bookmakers certainly aren’t.
The best Champions League betting sites can’t see anything other than a win for Manchester City. Pep’s team are just -450 to lift the trophy and complete the treble. While Inter Milan are +355. To put that into some sort of comparison, City were -380 to lift the FA Cup last week, with their opponents, Manchester United at +300.
This means that the best soccer betting sites believed that Manchester United had a better chance to stop City, than Inter Milan do this weekend.
In the 90-minute betting market, it’s a similar story. Manchester City are -210 on the moneyline to win in 90 minutes. The draw is +370, with Inter Milan out at +585. In the props markets, both teams to score is -110 for both yes and no. While in draw no bet, Man City are -675, with Inter Milan at +475.
One final market we like the look of, and one which could well feature in our picks, is the three-way handicap market. Starting from -1 goal, Manchester City are +120 with BetOnline. They also have the draw at +280, with Inter Milan at +180.
More 2023 Champions League betting can be found below on our odds table. These odds are taken from the best online sites for soccer betting, which you can read more about on our best online sportsbook reviews page.
|2023 UEFA Champions League Final Betting
|To Lift Trophy Betting
Apart from the obvious gravitas of winning the Champions League, there is also the prospect of a treble on the line for Manchester City. As we’ve already mentioned, Manchester United is the only other English side to pull off this feat.
Outside of England, and the treble of domestic cup, domestic league, and Champions League has only been achieved nine times. Twice by Barcelona in 2009 and 2015, twice by Bayern Munich in 2013 and 2020, and once by Celtic (1967), Ajax (1972), PSV Eindhoven (1988), and a certain Inter Milan in 2010.
It’s not often in soccer this happens. Two takeaways from that list of statistics is Inter Milan achieving the treble themselves in 2010, are the only Italian club on the list. And in the first of Barcelona’s two trebles, a certain Pep Guardiola was the manager (in what was his first full season in charge at the Camp Nou).
As things stand, we’re not aware of any injuries to key players, so both Pep Guardiola and Simone Inzaghi should have full squads to pick from. Although Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Milan Skriniar, Joaquin Correa, and Danilo D’Ambrosio, have had issues recently, most if not all of the quarter are expected to be available to the Italians.
Assuming no one is unavailable, then who do we see winning? Well, it’s certainly very hard to see past Manchester City.
In Europe, they have been outstanding this season. In total, they’ve conceded just five goals in their 12 UCL matches to date. While in the knock-out stages, they have put seven past Leipzig, three past Bayern Munich, and four past Real Madrid. Although, those high-scoring matches were all at the Etihad.
And that’s what Inter Milan have to take from these statistics. At the Etihad, City has won six from six. On the road, they have won one from six. And the final isn’t at the Etihad.
There are some mitigating circumstances though. The one win on the road came away at Sevilla, it was 4-0. Two of the three draws in the knock-out stages were away to Bayern Munich and Real Madrid (not too many sides win away at those venues). And the 0-0 draw away to Copenhagen in the group stages came in Match 4, with City already virtually assured of a place in the next round.
Therefore, we’re not reading too much into City’s away record, and we feel they will beat Inter Milan with plenty to spare. Our pick is for Manchester City (-1) to win on the three-way handicap at +120. That means City need to win by two or more goals. We really can’t see that being a problem.
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