The Nuggets to clinch the title at Ball Arena

Updated June 13, 2023
Updated June 13, 2023By Dean Etheridge

Game Five of the 2023 NBA Finals sees the Denver Nuggets host the Miami Heat at the Ball Arena on Monday Night. The Nuggets are favored to win on the night, and if they do, they will also win the NBA Championship for the first time in their history. Here we’re going to tell you if they can do it in our latest NBA betting picks

Denver Nuggets Vs Miami Heat Game 5 Nba Finals Betting Picks

The Nuggets blew the Heat away in Game Four in Miami on Friday night. Yet again, they were just too good, this time winning by 13 points. The 108-95 win was mainly down to superb team performance, although Arron Gordon was key with 27 points, seven rebounds, and six assists.

For once, it wasn’t Nikola Jokic leading the way. For the record, Jokic still chipped in with 23 points, 12 rebounds, and three assists. He was quieter than usual, but not that quiet.

Anyway, this latest win means the Nuggets have set the series up perfectly. Because when they tip off at 8.30 at the Ball Arena on Monday night, they have the opportunity to clinch the series in front of their home fans

Betting to win the 2023 NBA Championship

And if the Nuggets fans are slightly nervous, then just take a look at the latest betting to win the NBA Championship. Because this says they don’t need to be.

The best NBA finals betting sites make the Denver Nuggets -8000 to win the 2023 NBA Championship. Yes folks, -8000. That says the series is over. The Miami Heat are +1700 to win all three remaining games and stop that from happening.

The Nuggets have just been too dominant. And it’s not just the Heat they’ve dominated, it’s the whole NBA. 

Denver swept the Lakers in the Western Conference finals. In the semi-final – in what was one of the series of the 2023 postseason – they defeated the Phoenix Suns 4-2. And in the First Round, they beat the Minnesota Timberwolves 4-1. Although that result was to be expected. 

This has led BetOnline to already insert the Nuggets as their +500 betting favorites to win the 2024 NBA Championship. The Boston Celtics are regarded as their chief rivals, as they are +600. 

Nuggets vs Heat Game Five Betting

Onto the betting for Game Five, and the best NBA betting sites have priced the Nuggets up at -405 on the moneyline to win the match and seal the series. The Ball Arena has been a fortress during the playoffs, and this is reflected in those odds.

But don’t forget, the one team to breach the fortress in the playoffs is the Miami Heat. They are huge looking at +325 to win again and take the series to a sixth match.

On the handicap spread, the Nuggets are giving up 9 points. We suspect that may change, as the Nuggets have won all three of their matches in the finals by a bigger margin. But bear in mind, if the match is close, nerves may kick in. 

Starting from -9, the Nuggets are -110. The Heat is also -110 with the 9 points start. 

Finally, the total points spread is 208.5. Over is priced at -107, and under 208.5 is -113. So far in the four matches played, the total points have been 197, 219, 203, and 203. 

The only time that spread has been covered was in the match the Heat won. It’s almost like the Nuggets have suffocated Miami in the other three fixtures.

Below, we have more Game Five betting on our NBA Championship odds table. You can find more information on the listed bookmakers on our online sportsbook reviews page.

Our Nuggets vs Heat Picks

Unfortunately, it’s almost as predictable as a Max Verstappen win in Formula 1. We have to go for the Denver Nuggets. How can we not? There is a huge gulf in class between the two sides, and that was before the two wins for Denver over in Miami. 

The results in Game 3 and Game 4 at the Kaseya Center must have knocked the stuffing out of the Heat. They lost by 15 points and 13 points in their backyard. How do you come back from that?

And oh yeah, just for good measure, the Nuggets perform better at home (34-7)

The only question is, do the Nuggets cover the spread? We can’t back them at -405 on the moneyline. Just in case nerves kick in and there is a repeat of Game 2. But how can we back the Heat with any faith as well? I suppose at +325, a small side wager for cover might work. In case they do pull off the unthinkable

But when it comes to calling a pick on this match, it has to be the Denver Nuggets to win convincingly. If they get into an early lead, it could be a comfortable night with a party atmosphere. And if the last two games are anything to go by, covering the 9 points shouldn’t be a problem.

Our Game Five pick is for the Denver Nuggets to win and cover the spread. It’s going to be a good night for the Nuggets fans.

Denver Nuggets (-9) To beat Miami Heat
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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat - Game Five NBA Championship Finals
Ball Arena,Denver,Colorado
Starting on
June 12, 2023
Ending on
June 12, 2023

About the Author

Dean Etheridge
Dean Etheridge

Over the last 10 years, Dean has sharpened his expertise in crafting and revising content for his soccer and cricket betting platforms. Driven by his passion for sports betting and writing, he embarked on a journey of writing about sports wagering. Although Dean's preferred areas of focus are the English Premier League and cricket, his extensive sports knowledge enables him to tackle nearly any sport. Gone are the days of traveling the world to witness events like FIFA World Cups and Ashes cricket, as Dean now prefers the comfort of his own home while enjoying sports.

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