NFL Picks Week 4: Cleveland Browns favorites to beat Atlanta Falcons

Updated September 29, 2022
Updated September 29, 2022By Daniel Feliciano
Sbs Nfl Picks Week 4 Betting
Sbs Nfl Picks Week 4 Betting

A wonderful NFL season continues into week 4 this week as we start to weed out the contenders from the pretenders.

In a highly entertaining season so far, this week we’ll look at three games involving the Minnesota Vikings taking on the New Orleans Saints, the Buffalo Bills clash with the Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns facing off with the Atlanta Falcons. 

We’ll break down each game, give you our best free NFL betting picks, and see if we can earn you some extra cash for the end of the weekend.

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Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints – 10/2, 9:30am ET

The Saints have had a not-so-successful start, going 1-2 in their opening games of the season. They claimed victory in the opening game of the season when they claimed a 27-26 win over the Atlanta Falcons, but since then it’s gone left for them.

They suffered a dominant defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-10 in week 2, and then last week failed to bounce back against the Carolina Panthers when they were beaten 22-14.

The Vikings have had a mixed start to the season in the opening three weeks on the other hand, going 2-1 in their opening games so far. They claimed a 23-7 win over the Green Bay Packers on the opening weekend before a thumping 24-7 defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles in week 2.

Last weekend they put on a show against the Detroit Lions in the fourth quarter, scoring 14 unanswered points to come from behind and claim a 28-24 win.

Back Vikings to cover the spread

NFL London is set to kick off Sunday’s football at 9:30 a.m. ET with the Saints playing a “home game” against the Vikings.

While the Saints are a solid team, they will enter this match light at wide receiver with both Michael Thomas (toe) and Jarvis Landry (foot) missing through injury. The Vikings could also be without a key offensive player in Dalvin Cook as he is unlikely to recover in time from a shoulder problem.

Despite injuries on either side the Vikings are entering this game as the better football team. They managed to be victorious last week without a lot of help from Justin Jefferson as other members of the offense stepped up to show they’re not a one-man team.

Both Jameis Winston and Kirk Cousins can keep up with each other in a slugfest and it will be close whichever way it goes, so expect it to come down to the wire, meaning the Vikings should cover the spread even if they lose.

NFL picks: Minnesota Vikings -3 @ +100

Minnesota Vikings -3vs New Orleans Saints
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Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens – 10/2, 13:00 ET

The Bills started the season in impressive fashion with back-to-back dominant wins, beating the Los Angeles Rams 31-10 in the season opener before a 41-7 win over the Tennessee Titans.

However, their start came to an end in week three when Miami Dolphins pipped them to claim a 21-19 win last time out.

Baltimore have shown great promise this season and will come into this game with a 2-1 record. They claimed high-scoring wins over the New York Jets (24-9) in week one and then a 37-26 win over New England Patriots in week three.

There was a defeat sandwiched between those victories though, as they suffered a 42-38 loss to the Miami Dolphins in week 2.

Back Buffalo to cover the spread

This is potentially an early season preview to the AFC Championship game later in the season, and this matchup will be a test for both teams.

The Ravens have an edge with playing this game at home, however, the Bills will surely have too much about them offensively for Baltimore to be able to keep up with over four quarters.

Lamar Jackson can keep up with Josh Allen undoubtedly, however when it comes to which defense can make a game-altering play, I will side with the Bills. Without Ronnie Stanley, who could miss the game with his ankle problem, the pass rush will be key for Buffalo.

The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings between the Bills and Ravens and that is likely to continue here.

NFL picks: Buffalo Bills -3 @ -110

Buffalo Bills -3vs Baltimore Ravens
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Cleveland Browns vs Atlanta Falcons – 10/2/22, 13:00 ET

The Browns have had a terrific start to the season so far with a 2-1 record, with excellent performances even with one defeat.

They claimed a 26-24 win over the opening weekend against the Carolina Panthers and also beat the Pittsburgh Steelers in week 3 with a 29-17 victory, but suffered a close 31-30 defeat against the New York Jets in week 2.

The Falcons on the other hand had a stinker to start the season when they were beaten 27-26 by the Saints and 31-27 by the Rams in the opening two games. However, they finally got a mark in the win column last week when they earned a 27-23 win over the Seattle Seahawks.

Back Cleveland on the moneyline

This game features two of the NFL’s best offenses statistically and should lead to a great game.

Jacoby Brissett and Marcus Mariota have been key for the Browns’ offense and is ranked sixth in points (28.3) while the Falcons are ranked ninth (26.7) across the entire NFL.

This is a game that will come down to which defense can make a key stop or a turnover. The Falcons’ defense has five takeaways while the Browns have logged three.

Backed by the loud home crowd in Atlanta, the Falcons will feel confident of getting the job done but the Browns will be keen to keep their good form going and stop the Falcons from building momentum, so I’d take the favorites to claim a win on the moneyline here.

NFL picks: Cleveland Browns moneyline @ -120

Cleveland Brownsto beat Atlanta Falcons
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About the Author

Daniel Feliciano
Daniel Feliciano

A soccer and MMA fanatic who believes the eye test far outweighs statistics, apart from when it comes to betting. With experience writing for several years, Daniel is an avid sports fan but also enjoys obstacle courses, music and views from a height.

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