NFL Week 5 Picks – Buffalo Bills look too strong for the Chiefs

By Simon Taylor
American Football Sbs

The NFL season enters Week 5, and the standout fixture this weekend is the Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday night.

The match takes the primetime TV slot and pits two of the sportsbooks favorites to win Super Bowl LVI against each other in what promises to be an enthralling square-off.

In the betting to win the 2022 Super Bowl, the Chiefs are the favorites at +550, with the Bills at +800. The showpiece final takes place at the SoFi Stadium on February 13th, 2022.

Here’s a look at the latest outright winner betting for the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl LVI Winner BettingBetUSBovada
Kansas City Chiefs+550+550
Tampa Bay+600+600
Buffalo Bills+800+750
Green Bay Packers+1000+1100
Cleveland Browns+1000+900
Baltimore Ravens+1000+1100
Los Angeles Rams+1000+1000
Arizona Cardinals+1400+1500

Right, let’s get onto this weekend’s NFL picks!

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

Where else can we start with our NFL betting picks, than the Arrowhead Stadium!

The Chiefs have already lost twice this season, one of them at home, and they certainly won’t want another home defeat against their name this early in the campaign.

Their overall record this season is 2-2, with Buffalo Bills at 3-1. 

So far this season, Buffalo has defeated two teams to nil. Last weekend they won 40-0 over Houston Texans at the Bills Stadium. While earlier in the season, they beat Miami Dolphins 35-0 in Florida.

Many NFL watchers believe that Buffalo is the best side in the AFC this season, and this makes it the ideal time for them to ram home that belief. 

Last season the Bills lost twice to the Chiefs. But they have made a better start this year and won’t want to miss this chance to assert their authority and get some revenge for last season’s two defeats.

On the Moneyline, Buffalo is +120 with sportbooks to make their record 4-1. While a win for Kansas is at -150.

The handicap spread is +3 in favor of Buffalo, and at -110, I think that looks great value and is my first betting pick of the week.

Bills To Win @ -3 On HandicapBuffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs
-110
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New York Jets @ Atlanta Falcons (-3)

This match is actually taking place in London, England, and is the first of two NFL games at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in 2021.

Both these sides are 1-3 this season. But it’s the Falcons who go into the match as the favorites starting from -3 on the handicap.

In the match betting, Atlanta is -166 to win from scratch, with the Jets at +137.

Last weekend the Jets won their first match of the season, beating Tennessee Titans 27-24 at home. They did need overtime after the match finished 24-24 in regulation time.

This brought to an end a three-match losing run, but it was a tight encounter that could have gone either way.

The Jets could easily be going into Sunday’s encounter at 0-4. And on the back of a 26-0 defeat to the Denver Broncos the previous week, it could prove to be a pivotal win. 

Will it be enough to inspire them to victory in London though?

The Falcons also have had a difficult start to the season. The started with a couple of thrashings at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles (32-6) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (48-25).

17-14 victory over New York Giants on Week 3 gave them their first win of the season. Then last week, they lost a closely fought contest 34-30 at home to Washington

Atlanta will see this London fixture as a great chance to get their second win of the season, and on the handicap (-3) at -110 are my second NFL betting pick of the week.

Falcons To Win @ -3 On HandicapNew York Jets @ Atlanta Falcons
-110
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Miami Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10)

The final match I want to look at this weekend involves the hapless Miami Dolphins, and their visit to the Ray Jay to face the Buccaneers.

This one looks like a one-sided contest on paper. The handicap is set at +10 for Miami on the Moneyline, with the Dolphins a massive +350 to win from scratch.

For the record, Tampa Bay is -500 to win.

It is so far, so good, for Bruce Arians’ team though. A 3-1 start to the season is decent enough, and with a home game to come against the Dolphins, it all represents a great chance for more success.

As for the Dolphins, things haven’t been so good. Their record reads 1-3, and they are a team who really looks like they are going to struggle this season. 

Offensively, Miami looks all over the place at the moment. A 10 point spread on the handicap Moneyline does look a lot to overcome for Tampa. 

But with the form of these two teams, I think it is achievable, and with a -10 start at -110 with the sportsbooks, I make Tampa Bay my final NFL pick of the weekend

Buccaneers To Win @ -10 On HandicapMiami Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-110
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