2022 NBA Draft Futures: Will Paolo Banchero Go Before Chet Holmgren?

By Ned Snyder
Will Chet Holmgren Go No. 2?
Will Chet Holmgren still get drafted before Paolo Banchero?

Paolo Banchero or Chet Holmgren? That is the question everyone is trying to answer in advance of the 2022 NBA Draft, which will be taking place on Thursday, June 23, around 8 p.m. EST. And guess what? We’ve got an answer.

When it comes to Banchero vs. Holmgren predictions, we’re really trying to figure out who will go No. 2. Our 2022 NBA futures already have Jabari Smith going No. 1 to the Orlando Magic. So, we’re more interested in the odds on who will be selected second overall in the 2022 NBA Draft. We’re also going to tackle picks for how the rest of the top five of the 2022 NBA Draft will play out. After all, most of the best betting sites for the NBA are laying NBA draft prop odds. Why wouldn’t we capitalize on them?

Let’s begin with the odds to be selected second overall in the 2022 NBA Draft, which come courtesy of Bovada:

Pick to Go No. 2Bovada
Chet Holmgren-160
Paolo Banchero+350
Jaden Ivey+2000
Shaedon Sharpe+6000
Keegan Murray+10000
Bennedict Mathurin+20000
A.J. Griffin+20000
Johnny Davis+30000
Dyson Daniels+30000
Jalen Duren+30000

At present, betting odds on the 2022 NBA draft are moving at a furious pace. Make sure you’re double-checking these NBA draft betting lines, which are accurate entering June 21, before settling on any picks. And if you still need to find a home for all your basketball betting, definitely check out our reviews of the top online sportsbooks.

Is Chet Holmgren Still the REAL Favorite to Go No. 2?

Lots of reports circulating suggest that the Oklahoma City Thunder could trade the No. 2 pick or take Paolo Banchero at No. 2 rather than Chet Holmgren.

We’re calling B.S.

Thunder general manager Sam Presti has historically kept his draft-day plans close to the vest. Ditto for trade rumors. Oklahoma City seldom lets word leak about their plan.

This suggests, to us, that they’re going to take Holmgren himself—exactly the type of transcendent defender they could use in the middle.

OSB Prediction: Chet Holmgren (-160)

Chet HolmgrenTo go second overall in the 2022 NBA Draft
(-160)
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Paolo Banchero is a Better Bet to Get Drafted by the Houston Rockets at No. 3

Here are the betting odds for who will be taken at No. 3 in the 2022 NBA draft:

Some have suggested the Houston Rockets will consider taking Jaden Ivey if Chet Holmgren is off the board at No. 3. We’re not buying this scuttlebutt, either.

Houston does need a point guard, and Ivey could be a tantalizing fit next to Jalen Green. But the Rockets just traded Christian Wood, another big man, which suggests they plan to draft one at No. 3.

Process of elimination gets us to Banchero, a potential cornerstone offensive player. If Smith and Holmgren are off the board, as expected, this is a no-brainer for Houston.

OSB Prediction: Paolo Banchero (-550)

Paolo BancheroTo go third overall in the 2022 NBA Draft
-550
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Is Jaden Ivey a Lock to Go at No. 4 in the 2022 NBA Draft?

Here are the betting odds for will be taken at No. 4 in the 2022 NBA draft:

In recent weeks, oddsmakers have added more names to the fourth-overall-pick fold. This speaks to the unpredictability of the Sacramento Kings, who currently own the selection.

While many NBA teams draft the best player available, regardless of fit, some go the other way. And because the Kings are itching to make the playoffs for the first time since 2006, and also because they already have a point guard in De’Aaron Fox, the belief is that they might roll the dice on a wing.

Maybe this is true. But this is considered a draft with four potential stars. The Kings would be foolish to pass on Ivey if the three big men are off-limits. And if Sacramento does decide to pass on Ivey, they’ll likely move the No. 4 pick for an additional asset to a team that takes him anyway.

OSB Prediction: Jaden Ivey (-400)

Jaden IveyTo go fourth overall in the 2022 NBA Draft
-400
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Surprise Pick Coming at No. 5 in the 2022 NBA Draft?

Here are the betting odds for who will be taken at No. 5 in the 2022 NBA Draft:

If we assume the Paolo Banchero vs. Chet Holmgren debate is settled in the top three, the 2022 NBA draft really begins at No. 5. There are four consensus best players in this class. There is no fifth. Experts have pegged everyone from Keegan Murray to Shaedon Sharpe to Jalen Duren to Mark Williams as a possibility.

Get ready for another curveball…because we’re picking Bennedict Mathurin. The Detroit Pistons, owners of the No. 5 selection, are known to value defensive versatility on the wings. They also need off-ball shooting. Mathurin provides both, and he comes with the added upside of some on-ball skills.

Keep an eye on this spot. The right choice will change if the Pistons make a trade to move up for down. For now, though, we like the idea of taking a chance on Mathurin and his 6.5-to-1 payout.

Bennedict MathurinTo go fifth overall in the 2022 NBA Draft
+650
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About the Author

Ned Snyder
Ned Snyder

Ned has been working as a sports writer for over a decade now, with a focus on hockey and soccer, he speaks to both European and American audiences.

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