Donald Trump won the 2024 election with 77,284,118 votes. His opponent, Kamala Harris, earned 74,999,166 votes. The number of votes that put Trump in office for a second term was the second-highest number cast for President since Joe Biden earned 81,284,666 votes in 2020. Trump’s percentage of voters was 49.8, compared to Harris’s 48.3. Trump had 312 Electoral College votes, six more than Biden earned in 2020, but 20 fewer than Barack Obama had in 2012. The most Electoral College votes ever garnered were in 1936, when Franklin D. Roosevelt earned a landslide victory with 523 votes. Trump might have declared a landslide and a mandate from the public, but he earned the fifth-smallest margin of victory in the 32 presidential elections since 1900.
President Trump began his second term in office with an approval rating of 51.6 percent. That number fell quickly, and today, the president is struggling to get back to 44 percent approval. We examine where President Trump’s approval rating will stand on September 1, 2025.
| President Trump Approval Rating on Sept. 1 |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43.00 - 43.99 Percent | +265 | +265 | +250 |
| 42.00 - 42.99 Percent | +375 | +375 | +350 |
| 44.00 - 44.99 Percent | +375 | +375 | +325 |
| 45.00 - 45.99 Percent | +575 | +575 | +550 |
| 41.00 - 41.99 Percent | +700 | +700 | +500 |
| Under 40 Percent | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 |
| 40.00 - 40.99 Percent | +1200 | +1200 | +800 |
| 46.00 - 46.99 Percent | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 |
| 47 Percent or Higher | +3300 | +3300 | +2800 |
The betting odds for the President’s approval rating are based on the Silver Bulletin approval numbers. Developed by Nate Silver, the Silver Bulletin considers an enormous number of polls when coming up with its approval rating. Those polls are weighted and averaged using “a formula that weights polls according to our pollster ratings, which are based on pollsters’ historical accuracy in forecasting elections since 1998” and two methodological tests.
Silver Bulletin tracks President Trump on four issues: Immigration, Economy, Inflation, and Trade. So, how has Trump fared lately in these four criteria? The president has held steady on Immigration since July 25, and seen a very slight dip (.3) in his approval on the economy, but his numbers on trade and inflation are down in a more noticeable way, with trade dropping by .5 and inflation tumbling by two.
According to YouGov, Trump’s approval numbers are not good, but they have remained steady over the past three polls from that entity at -14, -15, and -14. Meanwhile, the FOX News poll shows the president’s net approval rating shifting from a positive of 8 on June 16 to a negative of -8 on July 21.
When Trump took office for his second term, his approval rating, according to Silver Bulletin, was 51.6 percent. However, that number dropped to below 50 percent by the time the calendar flipped to February.
Since mid-February, when he had a 49.8 percent approval rating for two days, Trump has not come close to 50 percent. From that 2025 high, the president’s approval slowly crept downward, hitting 43.6 on April 29. Trump edged back up after that, reaching a 46.6 in early June, but another dip followed the upward trend. That tumble saw the president’s approval rating fall to 44.5 percent on June 17. Trump then rallied again, climbing to 46.8 percent approval on June 22.
Since that brief recovery, Trump’s approval rating has been on the decline, with the lowest number of his second term coming on July 22 when the presidential approval number fell to 43.5 percent. As of this writing (August 6), the president’s approval rating is near his lowest rating, checking in at 43.8 percent.
According to a survey by the University of Massachusetts Amherst, the president’s approval rating among men has taken an enormous hit, falling from 48 percent in April to 39 percent in July. According to that same survey, Trump’s approval among women has fallen from 39 percent to 35 percent.
Jesse Rhodes, a professor of political science at UMass Amherst, said of the poll, “Trump has cultivated a ‘masculine’ reputation and sought to build support among American men, but, strikingly, we find that support for Trump has deteriorated most substantially among members of this group.”
With the Jeffrey Epstein controversy likely to go unresolved, and job numbers bad enough that the president fired the Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, Trump is going to need a lot of help to move his approval up to 44 percent in September. One thing that could help him is if the Federal Reserve lowers the interest rate. While the market briefly rallied in early August, with some speculation that a rate cut might be in the cards, BofA Global Research recently stated that they believe the rate will remain unchanged for the rest of the year. Without that rate cut, it’s hard to see President Trump’s approval improving.
The pick is that President Trump’s approval will be between 43.00 and 43.99 percent on September 1.
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About the Author
Trent's your man when it comes to all things sports. He covers a wide range of sports for Sports Betting Sites, and has been published in some pretty reputable outlets, such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's got the inside track on all the happenings in the world of sports.
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