NFL Picks Week 11: Buffalo Bills favorites to beat Cleveland Browns

Updated December 5, 2022By Hanley Clark

A wonderful NFL season continues into week 11 this week and the pattern is largely set for who the contenders will be come the end of the campaign.

In a highly entertaining season so far, this week we’ll look at three games involving the Dallas Cowboys taking on the Minnesota Vikings, the Washington Commanders game with the Houston Texans and the Cleveland Browns clash with the Buffalo Bills on Sunday.

We’ll break down both exciting match ups, give you our best free NFL picks, and see if we can earn you some extra cash for the end of the weekend.

Sbs Nfl Picks Week 11 Buffalo Bills Favorites To Beat Cleveland Browns
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Dalls Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings – 11/20, 16:25 ET

Dallas have had an excellent season so far going 6-3, winning two of their last three games with extremely comfortable wins over the Lions (24-6) and Bears (49-29).

Their defeats this season came on the opening day against Tampa Bay Buccaneers (19-3) in a poor showing, before the Philadelphia Eagles claimed a 26-17 win in an impressive showing. Last week they were poor though, losing 31-28 to the Packers.

The Vikings have been magnificent so far this season, going 8-1 with a dominant run and some impressive performances to boot.

Their sole defeat came against Phildaelphia Eagles in week 2, and since then they have won against all of Detroit Lions, New Orleans Saints, Chicago Bears, Miami Dolphins, St Louis Cardinals, Washington and Buffalo.

NFL picks: Back the Cowboys

The Cowboys let a lot of people down last week but while history was against them last week, it’s on their side this time around.

This is because the Cowboys will get Kirk Cousins, who is 2-8 in his career against Dallas. Despite the fact that the Vikings are two games better than the Cowboys record-wise, these teams are very much evenly matched across the board.

I feel safer taking the Cowboys when it comes to NFL moneyline betting here. Dallas is 3-0 outright in their past games in Minnesota, with two of those wins over Cousins and the Vikings coming at the hands of backup quarterbacks Andy Dalton and Cooper Rush.

The Cowboys had their letdown game last week just like the Eagles had theirs. The Vikings are due for one and the value is in their favor too.

NFL Picks – Dallas Cowboys to win @ -111

Dallas Cowboysto beat Minnesota Vikings
-111
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Washington Commanders vs Houston Texans – 11/20, 13:00 ET

The Commanders have had a rollercoaster of a season so far, going 5-5 but earned a memorable win over Phildaelphia last weekend to snap their unbeaten start to the season.

That means they have now won four of their last five games, beating the Bears, Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts while their only defeat in that run came against the Vikings in a close game.

On the other end it’s been an absolute horror show for Houston so far, going 1-7-1 for the season and winless since week 5, making it four defeats in a row against Las Vegas Raiders, Tennessee Titans, Philadelphia and New York Giants.

NFL picks: Back the Commanders

Washington is coming off their most-impressive win of the season, a 32-21 Monday night victory over the previously-unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles. With Chase Young expected to be activated for Week 11’s matchup with the Texans, the Commanders are in a prime spot to pick up another road win and finally have a winning record this season.

We are once again seeing the locker room rally behind Taylor Heinicke, who gives the team more hope than Carson Wentz.

Both the Texans and Commanders can run the football. However, the difference is that the Commanders could stop the run, especially in the wake of Young’s return, while the Texans are one of the worst teams in the NFL when it comes to stopping the opposition from doing so.

That makes it easy to back the travelling side and get good value on them to win the game.

NFL Picks – Washing Commanders to win @ -165

Washington Commandersto beat Houston Texans
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Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills – 11/20, 13:00 ET

NFL Picks Week 11BetOnlineBetUSMyBookie
Cleveland Browns+315+290+320
Buffalo Bills-385-370-429

The Browns have had a hit and miss campaign going 3-6 so far, and their big win over the Cincinnati Bengals in week 9 was erased from the memory when they got battered by the Dolphins 39-17 last week.

The Bills moved to 6-3 last week when they were beaten in overtime by the Vikings, bringing many of their fans back down to Earth after a fantastic start to the season.

NFL picks: Bills cover the spread

The Bills have been beaten twice in a row and now their backs are up against the wall to gain control of the AFC East once again. Bruised and beaten on both sides of the ball, the Bills appear to be in a must-win spot now.

The good thing is that they get the Browns. While the Browns can put up a fight with Jacoby Brissett, the Cleveland defense have been poor. And when it comes to Browns vs Bills mismatches, this looks like a game that the Bills will dominate and win comfortably.

While the Bills are ranked first in total yards across the NFL, they are also second in passing yards and points. Meanwhile, the Browns’ defense is ranked 17th in total yards, 19th in passing yards, and second in points allowed.

The only shot the Browns have at covering the spread is if they can control the clock with Nick Chubb. They’ll also need to force some Bills turnovers, which isn’t out of the question considering how they’ve been this season so far.

Buffalo will be keen to put things right and get back on track though, so expect them to push hard and claim a big win.

NFL Picks – Buffalo Bills -8 @ -110

Buffalo Bills -8to beat Cleveland Browns
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About the Author

Hanley Clark
Hanley Clark

Hanley has spent the vast majority of his career focused on sports-based industries, but has now linked his secret passion for writing with his ambition of working within the world of sport.

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