Best UFC 296 Bets: Leon Edwards vs. Colby Covington Picks

Updated December 11, 2023
Updated December 11, 2023By Chris Boline
ufc betting 296

Slated for later this week at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, UFC 296 features two fantastic title bouts. Kicking off your  UFC 296 betting preview and predictions, the main event of the evening will be UFC Welterweight Champion Leon Edwards taking on former interim champion Colby Covington. The former of course is coming off back-to-back wins against the dominating Kamaru Usman while Covington is making his return after last competing at UFC 272 (a victory over Jorge Masvidal). Meanwhile, the other title fight of the night will pit current UFC Flyweight Champion Alexandre Pantoja against Brandon Royval. The two previously matched up in August 2021 when the former won via second-round submission. 

In this report, SBS will review what to look for from each combatant, a selected winner, and even more notes about your UFC 296 betting card. 

UFC 296 Main Event BoutsThe PickBetOnlineBetUSBetNow
Colby Covington vs. Leon Edwards (c)Edwards-145-145-145
Brandon Royval vs. Alexandre Pantoja (c)Pantoja-170-170-170

UFC Men’s Welterweight Championship overview: Leon Edwards (c) vs. Colby Covington

Fighter Spotlight: Leon Edwards

Recognized as a top-five fighter in the UFC men’s pound-for-pound rankings, Edwards is coming off back-to-back sensational welterweight wins over Kamaru Usman. With an overall record of 21-3, the English combatant has been on a tear as of late. In his first win over Usman at UFC 278, he was able to score a spectacular fifth-round head kick knockout which earned him Performance of the Night honors. Moreover, he has won seven fights in his career by way of knockout along with three submission wins. He has also never been knocked out in a professional MMA bout. Since losing to Usman back in December 2015, he has won 11 fights in a row, with one no-contest to Belal Muhammad (March 2021) in between. 

Fighter Spotlight: Colby Covington

Covington, known for his Kurt Angle entrance music and boisterous promos, last fought back in March of last year in a unanimous decision-winning effort against Masvidal. Starting his career with a 15-1 record, he has won three of his last five bouts, with both of those losses coming to Usman in Welterweight Championship fights. A fighter with a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu lineage background, Covington also was an All-American wrestler out of Oregon State in the early 2010s. A southpaw striker, he has an arsenal of punches and kicks he can roll out and at one point set the record for attempted strikes in a UFC bout with 541. While he is coming off a Fight of the Night outing against Masvidal, it has also been some time since he last stepped in the ring which could play a factor in this fight. 

Prediction: This should be a fun fight, but Edwards will have the upper hand here given his superior record and the certain ring rust that Covington will run into. 

Leon EdwardsTo win vs. Colby Covington
-145
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UFC Men’s Flyweight Championship contest breakdown: Alexandre Pantoja (c) vs. Brandon Royval 

Fighter Spotlight: Alexandre Pantoja

The reigning UFC Flyweight Champion, the Brazilian fighter has put together a fantastic professional MMA record of 26-5. Pantoja won the UFC Flyweight Championship at UFC 290 back in July via a split decision Fight of the Night victory over Brandon Moreno. In his career, he has won 10 bouts via submission and also scored eight knockout wins which is a higher number for flyweight competitors. Moreover, as noted above he will be looking for his second consecutive win over Royval after forcing him to submit in August 2021. 

Fighter Spotlight: Brandon Royval

With three consecutive wins, Royval has found himself again facing Pantoja, the fighter who handed him his last defeat back in 2021. However, the American is coming off back-to-back Performance of the Night/Fight of the Night outings. In his most recent bout against Matheus Nicolau, he was able to score the knockout win with a knee and elbow flourish in the first round of the fight. Prior to that fight, he was victorious over Matt Schnell at UFC 274 with a guillotine choke submission win. With an overall record of 15-6, this will be his biggest fight to date and he will certainly have a lot of support in the crowd with his native Denver, not being too far away from Las Vegas (at least in terms of AFC West opponents). 

Prediction: Another close bout, take Pantoja to retain here given his familiarity with Royval and more extensive body of work. 

Alexandre PantojaTo win vs. Brandon Royval
-170
Bet Now

Other information and notes for your UFC 296 bets

Once you are all dialed in regarding the latest news and information coming from the world of UFC, make sure to also check out the wide variety of info for you at SBS. Of course, for all of your UFC 296 bets and beyond, an excellent page to bookmark is the UFC betting sites guide which covers all of the latest news and betting lines from the sport. Moreover, to have the best UFC 296 bets in terms of additional value, make sure to look into our best bonus betting sites rundown. Here you can find a catalog of the latest and greatest welcome bonus offers to help juice up not only your UFC 296 picks and beyond. Finally, if you are someone who is always on the go, an excellent page to peruse is the mobile betting sites breakdown which covers all of the nuances of mobile betting. 

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About the Author

Chris Boline
Chris Boline

Chris Boline is a Reno-based business development professional and freelance sports writer with over a decade of experience covering the NBA G League, Los Angeles Chargers, and national football and basketball. His expertise spans the NFL, NBA, UFC, boxing, golf, and motorsports, along with topical news, marketing, and promotional content. A proud University of Nevada graduate, Chris earned both his BS in Management & Economics (2015) and MBA (2023). He is active in the Reno community, serving on boards such as the Nevada Sagebrush Alumni Chapter, NCET, and the College of Business Alumni Association, where he was past president (2022–23). Notable honors include: - Two-time University of Nevada Alumni Chapter of the Year honoree (2017, 2021) - 2021 NCET Professional Services Organization of the Year (with TAC) - 2016–17 Reno Bighorns MVP, awarded by the Sacramento Kings - Nevada Press Association Award for Best Sports Column (2015) - Former Editor-in-Chief of The Nevada Sagebrush Chris blends his passion for sports with a strong background in sales, marketing, and community engagement.

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