Brandon A. Quick |  Tue 04/09/2018 - 08:58 EDT

Who will win the 2019 NFL Super Bowl?

Who will win the 2019 NFL Super Bowl?
Picking a Super Bowl winner before the season begins is always one of the most-discussed and anticipated wagers of the year, but with NFL Week 1 looming, it's time to get down.

Sept.6 will signify the start of the 2018 season with the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Atlanta Falcons. Just shy of five months later, the season will conclude with Super Bowl LII in Atlanta. Which team has the best chance to get there and win it is the subject of much debate, but equally important to bettors is sleuthing out wagering value.  

Here are the top 5 betting choices with less than a week to opening night:

  • New England +625
  • Philadelphia +900
  • Los Angeles +1000
  • Pittsburgh +1050
  • Minnesota +1250

Most critical factor: Value

Let’s get right to the crux of the discussion: when you take a long-term prop bet like this, value becomes even more of an obsession than it would playing week to week. A lot of fortuitous things have to happen for any team to make the Super Bowl, so getting short-changed is just unacceptable.

For me, this means, I’ll not be playing the Patriots at +625 when they have a QB old enough to have fathered many of his counterparts in the league. Similarly, I’ll let less imaginative players take the Philadelphia Eagles to repeat at +900 when a QB controversy is now thrust upon the organization, and did you see that offense in the preseason? Uninspiring.  

So which teams are inherently more interesting? Among the top five betting choices, Minnesota looks to be a pretty square price at +1250. The Vikings had a nasty defense a year ago and signed free agent QB Kirk Cousins to a massive contract in the offseason. There’s no reason to believe the Vikings won’t be in the hunt every step of the way in 2018 as they are built to endure the rigors of the season as well as anyone. It’s also worth considering that it took an epic meltdown for the Vikes to lose to the eventual Super Bowl champs in the playoffs a year ago. 

See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:

Rank Website Bonus Type of bonus

Outside shots

Looking just outside the main contenders, the New Orleans Saints (+1300), Green Bay Packers (+1400) and Jacksonville Jaguars (+1600) all have a live look. The Saints and Packers share one of the most precious commodoties an NFL francise can have as both are led by veteran, star QBs. Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees may be slightly outside the prime of their careers, but both are still plenty capable of leading their teams to the Super Bowl. Green Bay and New Orleans each have a formidable cast of offensive and defensive talent around these star QB’s and must be considered contenders. 

As for Jacksonville, I really like their defense and run game. Outside of Minnesota, no defense in the league compared to Jacksonville’s statistically a year ago, but Blake Bortles is still their starting QB. Even still, it’s worth remembering that the Ravens won the Super Bowl way back in 2001 with Trent Dilfer behind center. If Bortles can be as good as Trent Dilfer – a highly reasonable goal – I don’t think it’s unwise to make a wager on the Jags to win the Super Bowl.   

Live longshots

The pundits are wrong – really wrong – every once in a while. Consider the 1999 St. Louis Rams won the Lombardi Trophy after starting the season as +30,000 underdogs. A couple of years later, the New England Patriots started their dynasty in earnest by winning the 2001 Super Bowl despite starting the year at +6000. While it’s hard to catch lightening in a bottle, what do these examples have in common? If you answered “great and unexpectedly great quarterback play,” you’d be on the right course. 

So which unsung NFL starter seems ready to emerge as one of the league’s better QB’s? And, more importantly, perhaps, is which one has enough talent around him to make a surprising impact on the league? 

I’m rolling the dice and saying that Lamar Jackson will be a star QB in the NFL; the only variable may be how long it takes him to reach that status. Ostensibly, he seems to be number 3 on the Ravens depth chart, but I don’t think the aging Joe Flacco or injury-riddled/ineffective Robert Griffin III will stand in the rookie’s way for long. He’s just that talented and dynamic. Thus, the Ravens at +4000 look like a reasonable longshot play. 

For another +4000 play with potential, I’ll offer the Chicago Bears. Mitch Trubisky will be much-improved after learning the ropes last year and the Bears acquired some key free agent talent at WR over the offseason. Trubisky won’t have to be great as the Bears defense is plenty good enough to keep the team in games. 

Picking a longshot – or any shot – to win five months in advance is certainly challenging, but it’s a wagering proposition well worth its salt. With less than a week to the NFL season, do the reasearch, find the value and dive in with confidence!


Category : Sports Betting News

Tag : American Football , nfl , Super Bowl , super bowl 2019 , Super Bowl 53 , Super Bowl LIII

Leave a comment
More articles...
Sports Betting News - 15/04/19
Golden State Warriors Still Favorites for NBA Playoffs 
The 2019 NBA playoffs are underway and the most recent NBA Playoff odds suggest that it is the Golden State Warriors who will walk away with the title of NBA champions. Sixteen teams compete in a best-of-seven elimination tournament and the Golden State Warriors are the team to beat having won the champion in both 2017 and 2018.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 12/04/19
Marc Marquez a Huge Favorite to Win the Americas’ Grand Prix MotoGP 
Spanish superstar Marc Marquez looks set to continue his incredible record in the Red Bull Grand Prix of The Americas that takes place in Austin, Texas on Sunday 14th April. Marquez has won the Grand Prix of North America for six consecutive years and everything points towards him making it seven in a row.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 02/04/19
2019 US Masters Golf Tournament: Rory McIlroy Favorite to Win His First Green Jacket 
The 2019 Masters Tournament runs from April 11-14th at the Augsta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia and is the 83rd edition of this massive golf major. The world’s best golfers will be in action, each hoping to get their hands on the famous green jacket. Rory McIlroy is the pre-tournament favorite despite having never won the Masters and the fact he’s not won a major since 2014. Will McIlroy win the US Masters?
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 01/04/19
UFC 236: Is a Holloway and Adesanya Parlay A Good Bet? 
UFC 236, billed at Holloway vs. Poirier 2, takes place on April 13th, 2019 at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia and sees the UFC Lightweight Championship bout between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier headline the event. Poirier won the previous fight between the two, but the UFC betting odds suggest Holloway is a massive favorite.
Read this article