Brandon A. Quick |  Mon 24/12/2018 - 15:29 EST

Malibu Stakes 2018

Malibu Stakes 2018
One of the best holiday traditions in racing is, indeed, Santa Anita the day after Christmas. Once again, the Grade 1 Malibu - a 7 furlong event for three year-olds - anchors the festive card.

This race always draws a deep and competitive field, and the 2019 renewal is no exception. With an overflow field of 16 set to roll at 4:00 PM PT, getting a handle on this group will take some handicapping patience and attention to deatail. 

Here are 5 essential questions to consider while attempting to unlock value in this year’s Malibu:

  • Is 7/2 ML favorite McKinzie ready to make amends for his Breeders’ Cup flop?
  • With a plethora of early speed, which closer will benefit?
  • Several double-digit odds horses look live. Which one is ready to fire?
  • How important is home track advantage for the west coast horses?
  • Can Baffert be beaten here with two top contenders?

Analyzing the field

With so many runners of similar running style and ability, this race will certainly come down to which horse gets the right trip. Of course, post position could play a critical factor. Here’s a look at the draw and odds:

  1. Calexman 30/1
  2. Majestic Dunhill 30/1
  3. Copper Bullet 6/1
  4. Still Having Fun 20/1
  5. Identity Politics 12/1
  6. Axelrod 10/1
  7. Seven Trumpets 12/1
  8. Nero 12/1
  9. Ax Man 5/1
  10. Bobby’s Wicked One 10/1
  11. Greyvitos 20/1
  12. Kanthaka 6/1
  13. McKinzie 7/2
  14. Solomini 10/1
  15. Super Sol 20/1
  16. Cool Bobby 20/1

Kanthaka and Seven Trumpets are interesting horses here, as both have excelled at the 7 furlong distance in graded stakes action, and both can employ closing tactics that should fare well in a race that seems certain to feature blistering early fractions.

Kanthaka hasn’t been seen in competition since May, but appears to be working exceptionally well for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer. Seven Trumpets will ship in from Churchill after a disappointing effort in the Breeders’ Cup Mile, but his best race would make him a major contender at healthy odds. 

More betting banter

Bob Baffert has a very live hand here with McKinzie and Ax Man, but it’s definitely worth noting that both will have to return to form after poor last-race efforts. Both runners have trained well in preparation for this start, but I’d argue that both runners are overbet because of the connections. 

Identify Politics is a very interesting candidate for trainer Chad Brown at 12/1. This guy took a major step forward in his last start and the fact that Brown is willing to ship across country for a shot at the best, speaks volumes. 

The bet

I like several horses here, so I’ll come to terms with a three-horse exacta box using Identify Politics, Seven Trumpets, and a horse I’ve yet to mention in Bobby’s Wicked One. That’s 5,7,10 Box for me in a wide-open race. If I connect with these runners, I’ll certainly get a handsome reward. 

See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:

Category : Sports Betting News

Tag : horse racing odds , Horse Racing Picks , Horse Racing Predictions , Malibu Stakes , Malibu Stakes Odds , Malibu Stakes Picks

Leave a comment
More articles...
Sports Betting News - 18/03/19
How to make money on political betting; will Trump win another term? 
One of the great features of online betting is the many different betting markets available. While the majority of online sports bettors place wagers on sporting events, it is possible to make money from political betting, particularly when the United States Presidential election is on the horizon.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 11/03/19
2019 Formula 1 Futures Betting Odds: Hamilton and Mercedes to Win 
The 2019 Formula 1 schedule sees the 10 teams compete across 21 Grand Prixs between March 17th and December 1st, starting in Melbourne Australia and finishing in Abu Dhabi. Lewis Hamilton was almost faultless during the 2018 season, winning 11 of the 21 races and qualifying in pole position in 11 times, despite his car being slower than Ferrari’s Sebastian Vettel over one lap for the majority of the season. Hamilton secured his fifth Drivers Championship and his second consecutive title. Should Hamilton win th 2019 Formula 1 Drivers Championship, he will only be won title away from matching the long-standing record of seven titles set by the legendary Michael Schumaker.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 06/03/19
Who will win the 2019 MotoGP championship? 
The 2019 MotoGP championship runs from March 10 when the riders race at the Grand Prix of Qatar and ends on November 17 at the Gran Premio Motul de la Comunitat Valenciana. All eyes will be on Marc Marquez who is looking to secure his sixth MotoGP championship in seven years, which would put him ahead of Australian legend Mick Dooham in terms of titles won.
Read this article 
Sports Betting News - 25/02/19
March Madness Futures 2019 
The most exciting time in college basketball is almost upon us. That’s right folks, March Madness runs from March 19 to April 8 and sees 68-teams take to the court in a single-elimination tournament to determine the National Collegiate Athletic Association Division 1 champion for the 2018-19 season. Who do you think will come out on top once March Madness is confined to the history books? Does your pick match our experts’?
Read this article