College Football Week 7 Best Bets
Stop Howling About the Wolverines
- In his first 31 games as Michigan coach, Brady Hoke, considered a bumbling idiot by the Wolverines faithful, was 24-7.
- In his first 31 games as Michigan coach, Jim Harbaugh, the messiah of Ann Arbor’s masses, is 24-7.
What does this tell you? Well, first of all, that the Wolverines aren’t all that.
Michigan has been living off of reputation rather than reality for several seasons now, and it’s been no different under Harbaugh. This year’s young, inexperienced team with a serious deficiency at quarterback earned its place in the rankings via tradition more than recent track record.
Last week’s loss to Michigan State displayed exactly how susceptible the Wolverines are to upset. A breakdown of this and other significant Week Seven NCAA football showdowns, whith odds provided by Bovada.lv.
Last week’s 14-10 home-field loss to Michigan State didn’t just knock them from the ranks of the unbeaten, it displayed the many warts that indicate this Michigan team was overrated from the start. The Wolverines turned the ball over five times against the Spartans and if they’d been facing a better club, the scoreline would have finished far more lopsided.
At 3-2, Indiana is a better team than that record would indicate. If the Hoosiers and their balanced offense can manage their turnover ratio against a Michigan defense that has just one takeway in Big Ten play, and the Wolverines don’t get their offense untracked under QB John O’Korn, a repeat of what happened last week against Michigan State could be in the cards.
Pick: Indiana (+250)
You’d expect Army to have a spectacular ground game and that’s certainly the case.
The 4-2 Golden Knights are rushing for 373 yards per game and during their current three-game winning streak, have not fumbled on 184 carries over that span.
Kell Walker and Ahmad Bradshaw combined for five TDs and 242 yards rushing in a 49-12 win over Rice and the Army defense forced six turnovers.
The Eagles have lost three straight, all on the road, and each by just one score but they could be caught looking ahead to next week’s home-field matchup with arch-rival Western Michigan.
Pick: Army (-240)
Last week, Iowa State knocked the Sooners from the ranks of the unbeaten with a 38-31 victory, even though Oklahoma were 31-point favorites. Two weeks ago, the Longhorns went to Iowa State and downed the Cyclones 17-7.
Based simply on common opponents, that gives an edge to Texas, but there’s much more there to indicate that much like Michigan, Oklahoma is more reputation than reality. The Longhorns held Iowa State to 236 yards passing, an average of 5.0 yards per catch. The Cyclones were able to compile 368 yards through the air against Oklahoma, an average of 13.6 yards per completion. Baylor, far from a powerhouse, lit up the Sooners for 463 passing yards in a 49-41 loss.
Texas QB Sam Ehlinger was a true double-threat in last week’s OT win over Kansas State, passing for 380 yards and two TDs and running for 107 yards on 20 carries.
Pick: Texas (+250)
You have to go all the way back to 1999 to unearth an Auburn win at LSU, but all things, both good and bad, must come to an end at some point.
Tenth-ranked Auburn (5-1) comes at you with a fierce front seven and that’s bad news for LSU, which is banged up on the offensive line and pedestrian at quarterback.
LSU’s Danny Etling pales in ability when compared to Auburn’s Jarrett Stidham, who leads the SEC and rates among the top 10 in the NCAA ins passer efficiency and completion percentage.
Pick: Auburn (-265)
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