Brandon A. Quick |  Sat 05/05/2018 - 15:34 EDT

2018 Kentucky Derby Multirace Exotic Betting Strategies

2018 Kentucky Derby Multirace Exotic Betting Strategies
Every wagering pool is fattened by the betting bonanza that is Kentucky Derby day, but a player with the right ideas and execution can make a veritable fortune on rolling doubles, picks 3's and one of the best Pick 4 opportunities of the year. Here's how I'll attack the multi-race bets this year.

Daily Double

There are a couple of opportunities on the 14-race Derby card to fatten the wallet by way of the rolling double. I’ll jump right in with the first race of the day which begins at 10:30 ET. Nothing like a little breakfast to go with a winning wager.

The five-horse Crosswalk (2/1 ML) has an edge on his seven rivals in race 1, a seven-furlong optional claiming race, but he’s no slam-dunk. I’ll emphasize him to start the first leg of the daily double and use the 2,3,6 and 7 horses to a lesser extent. I’ll pair these runners with Big Gray Rocket (#6) in race 2, who is a generous 5/1 on the morning line. Big Gray Rocket worked extremely well April 29 at Churchill and should love stretching out from six furlongs to a one-turn mile. If I’m right, I should be able to turn my $30 play into a nice little bankroll to get things rolling the right way on Derby day. 

The bets

Race 1: 

$10 Daily Double 5/6 =$10

$5 Daily Double 2,3,6,7/6=$20

Pick 3

I love betting the Pick 3 and used to consider it the best bet in racing before I came to the realization that the wager just doesn’t provide much return at most tracks in the country on most ordinary days. Fortunately for us, Derby Day is not ordinary and we can clean up with rolling picks 3’s all day long if we play our cards right. 

  • Races 3-5 look like the right time to jump into the pick 3 pool as the sequence offers three straight races where I think the morning line favorite is vulnerable. In race three, I like 12/1 Krewe Chief, 3/1 Hollywood Handsome and I’ll throw in Laddie Boy at a whopping 30/1 while playing completely against Lookin at Lee – a weak 5/2 favorite. That’s numbers 2,4 and 10 in race three. 
  • In race 4, I’ll use Unbridled Rebel (3/1) and Ding Dong Ditch (7/2), but I’ll also throw in Irish Territory (5/1) and Believinholidays (15/1) who both have live chances to knock off the top two picks. That’s numbers 3,4,9 and 11 in race four. 
  • In the finale of the sequence, race 5, I’ll try to cash by using a four-pack of runners – 1,6,7 and 8 in a salty $100,000 optional claimer that includes 2017 Kentucky Derby participant McCracken. The 7-horse, Storm Advisory offers great betting value at 12/1 ML. 

The bet

Races 3-5:

$1 Pick Three Partwheel 2,4,10/3,4,9,11/1,6,7,8 = $48

Pick 4

The pick 4 that ends with the Kentucky Derby is one of the most popular and profitable gifts of Kentucky Derby day each year and hitting it is no easy challenge. If you’re serious about playing this one – and I’m all in – you’re going to have to spend a little money. Race 9, the Grade 2 American Turf, initiates the all-stakes pick 4 this year and it’s a race where I think I’m going to need some coverage. Here’s how I’ll play the sequence.

  • Race 9: The Grade 2 American Turf starts the Pick 4 and this is a wide-open event. I’ll spread out to catch the winner – and hopefully, a good price. Use 1,3,6,9,10,11,13,14
  • Race 10: The Grade 3 Pat Day Mile features some solid three year-olds in another wide-open betting event. I’d prefer not to be so deep in this race, but there is no stand-out. Use 1,5,7,8,11,12,14
  • Race 11: The Grade 1 Old Forrester Turf Classic is a mile and an eigth grass event where again, contention runs deep. In this race, however, I’ll limit my selections to a pair of runners. #7 Synchrony is 2 for 2 this year – both in graded stakes – and is also perfect at the distance. I’ll use him in addition to the classy Beach Patrol (#10). Use 7 and 10.
  • Race 12: What can you say about this year’s KY Derby other than it’s a great field running for one of racing’s highest honors? Justify is the most talented runner is the field, but the best horse doesn’t always win this race. I’ll use Justify and the horse who chased him home in the Santa Anita Derby in Bolt d’Oro. Use 7 and 11.

The bet

Races 9-12

50-cent Pick 4 Partwheel 1,3,6,9,10,11,13,14/1,5,7,8,11,12,14/7,10/7,11 =$112 

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Category : Sports Betting News

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