Brandon A. Quick |  Sat 03/02/2018 - 12:27 EST

What is the Best Super Bowl Spread Pick for 2018?

What is the Best Super Bowl Spread Pick for 2018?
The Super Bowl spread is arguably the most talked about wagering line of the year, but it can be difficult to separate bogus chatter from helpful betting advice. Always shooting for the latter, let's discuss our spread options in LII.

Game Spread: New England -4.5 (-115)

Few surprises here that the Patriots are getting this kind of respect. They are a dynasty and they still have Tom Brady even if he’s now 40 years-old and the most senior QB to ever play in a Super Bowl. The Pats are also still coached by evil genius Bill Belichick who has repeatedly shown a knack for pressing all the right buttons in big games. 

That said, the Pats are the public pick and the household name. In short, both of those things invariably indicate a team getting too much credit. The hunch bettor, the guy that plays one game a year and the office lady who likes the Pats because Brady is the only football player she knows will all land on the same team here. Meanwhile, the Eagles are a fitting foil. Philly was the underdog in each of its first two playoff games despite winning the NFC East and posting the best regular season record in the NFL at 13-3. The Eagles were also playing those games at home. 

Clearly, the media and football fans at large failed to take Philly seriously after the season-ending injury to starting QB Carson Wentz. Admittedly, the Eagles are less formidable with Nick Foles taking snaps, but they’re still pretty damn good as evidenced by their 38-7 destruction of Minnesota two weeks ago in the playoffs. 

I’ve been clear and confident in my prediction on this game. The Eagles defense provides the perfect counter to New England’s offense and I believe Philly is the more complete football team. I don’t think New England finds any success in this game running the football against one of the NFL’s best rushing defenses, so Brady dropping back to pass over and over and over again makes the Pats pretty one-dimensional. It also makes them beatable. Philly is the bet here. Enjoy the 4.5 points and the reduced juice available at most online sportsbooks (-105 as opposed to -110). 

TAKE Philadelphia +4.5 (-105)

Other Spread Opportunities

For spread bettors looking for a non-conventional route, betitng the spread by halves or quarter is certainly another viable choice. Philly is +3 in the first half and +1/2 in the first quarter. In the interest of full disclosure, I don’t like either of these bets as much as I like Philly +4.5 for the game. I fully expect a back and forth battle in Super Bowl LII with neither team seizing command. I’ll wait to see if I’m right when the dust settles rather than shooting for the premature satisfaction of winning the first half or quarter. 

Of course, I may change my tune about betting the second half or quarters 2-4 depending on how the action is going. As always, I’ll have my online sportsbooks pulled up on my laptop, ready to pounce on any in-game spreads that seem appealing. As a word to the wise, be sure you are keeping close tabs on the action if you plan on betting in-game spreads.

Category : Sporting News

Tag : Football , nfl , Super Bowl

Leave a comment
More articles...
Sporting News - 06/04/18
2018 Ashland Stakes Predictions 
There are plenty of reasons for horse players to be infused with adrenaline with the Keeneland meet starting and the Kentucky Derby just a few weeks away. The 81st running of the Grade 1 Bluegrass Stakes Saturday, April 7 (5:45 ET post) adds another big target for those inclined to bet the ponies.
Read this article 
Sporting News - 31/03/18
Florida Derby 2018 Odds, Predictions 
The winner of the Florida Derby went on to win the Kentucky Derby in 2016 and 2017. One of the 9 runners lined up for the Florida Derby Saturday March 31 (6:36 ET post) will hope recent history repeats itself.
Read this article 
Sporting News - 31/03/18
2018 Dubai World Cup Predictions 
There are few international events in horse racing like the $10 million Dubai World Cup and the 2018 renewal holds plenty of intrigue for bettors of all stripes as a star-studded field of 10 is set to go Saturday, March 31 at 12:50 ET.
Read this article 
Sporting News - 29/03/18
2018 MLB Opening Day Betting Lines Picks 
With a full card of opening day MLB scheduled for Thursday, March 29 action, it's time to switch betting gears and focus on the diamond. Here are a few lines that stand out as solid bets as teams play the first of their 162-game schedule.
Read this article