Brandon A. Quick |  Wed 07/03/2018 - 16:32 EST

Best MLB Players Props Betting Odds for 2018

Best MLB Players Props Betting Odds for 2018
In addition to all its other charms, baseball has always been a game of stats and numbers. Players are frequently defined by the number of home runs, hits, errors, strikeouts, wins and saves they accumulate. This, of course, creates tremendous fodder for prop betting.

Why Bet Player Props?

With Thursday, March 29 signifying the opening day of the 2018 MLB season, it’s time to give serious discussion to player props. Like any prop bet, these are long-term investments requiring the bettor to make a wager in March that likely won’t be settled until September. While most bettors prefer faster returns, there is inherent value and entertainment in following a bet over the duration of a season. Moreover, the opportunity to bet individual player lines is one that does not present itself frequently. 

Perusing the Menus 

Every sportsbook is a little bit different, so the best advice to impart here is to shop around for the variety and breadth of desired player props. These props basically take on two different forms: over/under and odds to win versus a given field. For example, in the home runs category, Yankees slugger Aaron Judge’s total is set at 36.5 with bettors permitted to wager on whether he will hit over/under that number at -115 (collect $1 for every $1.50 wagered). By contrast, Judge is listed at +400 (collect $5 for every $1 wagered) at most sportsbooks to be MLB’s home run leader in 2018.

These kinds of bets are available in multiple statistical categories for a wide variety of players, but shopping different online sportsbooks for preferential odds is recommended. It’s also notable that both types of props are still available after the season begins, but preseason odds offer greater betting value in most instances. 

2018 Props: What’s on Tap

While it’s in every bettor’s interest to make sure the player they plan to back makes it out of spring training healthy, here’s a peek at a couple 2018 category leaders of interest:

Total Home Runs 

  • Giancarlo Stanton +250
  • Aaron Judge +400
  • JD Martinez +400
  • Bryce Harper +1000
  • Mike Trout +1000
  • Kris Bryant +1000
  • Chris Davies +1600

Pitching Props (Wins)

  • Corey Kluber (O/U 16.5)
  • Justin Verlander (O/U 15.5)
  • Madison Bumgarner (O/U 15.5)
  • Luis Severino (O/U 14.5)
  • David Price (O/U 14.5)

Odds to Win NL MVP 

  • Bryce Harper +190
  • Paul Goldschmidt +400
  • Nolan Arenado +500
  • Kris Bryant +600
  • Joey Votto +12000
  • FIELD +800

Picks to Click

Sometimes the overly obvious pick is the best choice, but I’m going to refrain from taking Giancarlo Stanton or Aaron Judge to win the total home run race in 2018. For starters, Stanton hasn’t been the healthiest player around for much of his career playing over 140 games just twice in eight seasons. As for Judge, the famed sophomore slump is enough to scare me away from him at short odds. At +1000, I like the Angels Mike Trout in this category. Trout is well-established as one of the game’s top players despite entering just his third season. He homered 33 times last year in just 114 games and likely hasn’t tapped into his full potential as a long ball hitter. 

TAKE Mike Trout +1000 in total Home Runs 

I’m not a huge fan of prop bets that offer short value, but I am a huge fan of easy money. Boston hurler David Price’s career has been in steady decline over the last few years, underscored by a late-season move to the bullpen in 2017. I have no idea why his 2018 win total is set so high, but the play is clearly under. The former Cy Young Award winner has had a great career, but is past his prime. 

TAKE David Price UNDER 14.5 Wins 

If it seems like the same players are being trotted out each year to win the NL MVP, it’s because they are. I’m never going to buy Bryce Harper at a short price and the rest don’t interest me either. Let’s go with the field in this pick as someone, anyone will surely emerge as a top player. Colorado centerfielder Charlie Blackmon will be an interesting and viable candidate, so check your sportsbook of choice for updated odds. 

With so many categories and props to consider, it’s time to get down to the business of handicapping the 2018 MLB season. 

Category : Sporting News

Tag : baseball , mlb

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